Friday
Sep252015
Pruce-Zimmerman's Chess By The Numbers: Current World Cup Predictions
Friday, September 25, 2015 at 8:21PM
For those interested in stats and odds, you can find Tai Pruce-Zimmerman's numbers and prognostications for the final four of the World Cup - here.
tagged 2015 World Cup
Reader Comments (5)
I find such odds, literally believing in (live) ratings, always a bit odd. Based on this method, Svidler had almost no chance to eliminate Topalov, same for Eljanov against Grischuk and Nakamura - they did it anyway.
He gave Svidler a 24.6% chance to defeat Topalov and Eljanov a 38.2% chance to defeat Grischuk and a 27.8% chance to beat Nakamura. That's very far from almost no chance.
By the way, the About the Author page says that his name is Tai Pruce-Zimmerman.
Hi,
Thanks for sharing my blog on your site, I appreciate the advertising, and am glad you have enjoyed my site enough to think your readers might also want to see it! One point of clarification though: while David Korn has commented on my blog a couple times he is not the author of any of the content or analysis.
[DM: Yikes! I'd better fix that right now.]
I appreciate these kind of statistic, since it is always an exercise for thinking objectively - which is often counterituitive. (Of course everybody knows that there are additiional influences on the outcome, which cannot be mesured eg. Jetlag of Sinquefield partipitants, motivation, and a lot more)
I Would be interested how the odds for the highest rated player (Magnus) would be to win such an event.
dennis, thought i gave you the t/p, prefer this stay included, if was the case. hope there is no misunderstanding. tai is a gem of a man as are you, dk